Table 1 Combinations of different change patterns with the corresponding information criterion
Change patterns | AIC | CAIC | BIC | LL | MAPE % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pulse | 3037.00 | 3037.53 | 3060.82 | − 1511.50 | 16.7 |
Step | 3037.18 | 3037.70 | 3061.00 | − 1511.59 | 16.8 |
Ramp | 3037.24 | 3037.77 | 3061.06 | − 1511.62 | 16.8 |
Pulse + Ramp | 3039.00 | 3039.68 | 3066.23 | − 1511.50 | 16.7 |
Step + Ramp | 3039.16 | 3039.84 | 3066.38 | − 1511.58 | 16.8 |
Step + Pulse | 3038.77 | 3039.45 | 3065.99 | − 1511.39 | 16.7 |