|
Predictive model
|
AUC
|
P value
|
HL Chi-square
|
P value
|
IDI
|
P value
|
---|
Midwest development cohort
|
POSMI
|
0.831 (0.813–0.850)
| |
10.963
|
0.2038
| | |
|
SOFA
|
0.728 (0.703–0.754)
|
< 0.001
| | |
0.102 (0.082–0.123)
|
< 0.001
|
|
APACHE IV
|
0.773 (0.752–0.795)
|
< 0.001
| | |
0.081 (0.060–0.102)
|
< 0.001
|
West validation cohort
|
POSMI
|
0.829 (0.809–0.049)
| |
3.0918
|
0.9285
| | |
|
SOFA
|
0.741 (0.716–0.766)
|
< 0.001
| | |
0.108 (0.085–0.131)
|
< 0.001
|
|
APACHE IV
|
0.763 (0.740–0.786)
|
< 0.001
| | |
0.095 (0.073–0.117)
|
< 0.001
|
South validation cohort
|
A-SIMP
|
0.825 (0.805–0.845)
| |
10.888
|
0.2081
| | |
|
SOFA
|
0.736 (0.740–0.786)
|
< 0.001
| | |
0.084 (0.062–0.105)
|
< 0.001
|
|
APACH IV
|
0.758 (0.734–0.782)
|
< 0.001
| | |
0.077 (0.057–0.098)
|
< 0.001
|
Wenzhou validation cohort
|
POSMI
|
0.798 (0.769–0.826)
| |
13.135
|
0.1073
| | |
|
SOFA
|
0.747 (0.714–0.780)
|
0.005
| | |
0.042 (0.014–0.069)
|
0.003
|
|
APACHE IV
|
0.777 (0.747–0.807)
|
0.208
| | |
0.035 (0.001–0.060)
|
0.007
|
- AUC area under curve, IDI integrated discrimination improvement, HL Hosmer–Lemeshow