Fig. 6

a, b. An MLE fit of the basic SCLAIV model & 4 social distancing parameters (SocDist_steep fixed at 3) to the first 31 days of Israeli incidence data. c, d. An extension of the fit in a obtained by accepting the MLE parameters listed in a, b but fitting 4 social relaxation parameters ( SocRel_steep fixed at 3) to the first 100. Note the value SocRel_init=0 in d was not fixed, but represents a boundary constraint in the MLE solution