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Table 1 Baseline characteristics and risk factors in derivation and validation cohorts

From: Development and validation of a risk prediction score for severe acute pancreatitis

Variable

Derivation cohort (n = 700)

Validation cohort (n = 194)

Age, years (IQR)

48 (37–63)

49 (38–61)

Male sex, N (%)

435 (62.1)

127 (65.5)

Duration of symptoms, days

1.83 ± 0.79

1.67 ± 0.78

SIRS, N (%)

272 (38.9)

82 (42.3)

Etiology

 Biliary, N (%)

299 (42.7)

74 (38.1)

 Alcohol, N (%)

96 (13.7)

12 (6.2)

 Hypertriglyceridemia, N (%)

37 (5.3)

31 (16.0)

 Idiopathic, N (%)

246 (35.1)

73 (37.6)

 Other, N (%)

22 (3.1)

4 (2)

Laboratory findings

 Hematocrit

0.42 (0.38–0.46)

0.43 (0.39–0.46)

 Platelets (109/L)

197 (158–233)

206 (169–248)

 Prothrombin time, s (IQR)

13.8 (13.1–14.6)

13.7 (13.2–14.5)

 Albumin, g/L (IQR)

36.2 (32.9–39.7)

36.6 (32.7–39.7)

 Bilirubin, mg/dL (IQR)

1.16 (0.79–1.81)

1.11 (0.76–1.75)

 ALT, U/L (IQR)

40 (19–107)

33 (18–91)

 AST, U/L (IQR)

36 (21–85)

33 (23–73)

 Glucose, mg/dL (IQR)

144 (117–193)

139 (112–191)

 BUN, mg/dL (IQR)

13.4 (10.4–17.4)

14.0 (10.6–17.9)

Pleural effusion, N (%)

135 (19.4)

83 (42.8)

Clinical outcomes

 Patients with SAP, N (%)

68 (9.7)

18 (9.3)

 Number of POF, N (%)

  One organ failure

38/68 (55.9)

7/18 (38.9)

  Two organ failure

19/68 (27.9)

6/18 (33.3)

  Three organ failure

11/68 (16.2)

5/18 (27.8)

 Type of POF

  Respiratory failure, N (%)

56/68 (82.4)

16/18 (88.9)

  Renal failure, N (%)

24/68 (35.3)

10/18 (55.6)

  Cardiovascular failure, N (%)

29/68 (42.7)

8/18 (44.4)

Length of hospital stay, days (IQR)

10 (7–9)

11 (7–17)

 Hospital mortality, N (%)

11 (1.6)

2 (1.0)

  1. Data were mean ± standard deviation, or numbers and percentages, or median (25th–75th percentile), as appropriate
  2. N, number; IQR, interquartile range; BMI, body mass index; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; SAP, severe acute pancreatitis; POF, persistent organ failure