Set

Parameters

Characteristics


R
^{a}_{0max}

R
^{a}_{0min}

I
_{
X peak} (day)^{b}

I
_{
X max} (%)^{c}

Correlation coefficient (%)

R
^{d}_{eX
}


1

1.55

1.30

269

2.46

96.83

1.32

2

1.54

1.30

269

2.45

96.83

1.32

3

1.56

1.30

269

2.48

96.83

1.33

4

1.53

1.30

270

2.43

96.82

1.32

5

1.57

1.30

268

2.50

96.81

1.33

6

1.52

1.30

270

2.41

96.80

1.32

7

1.58

1.30

268

2.52

96.79

1.33

8

1.59

1.30

268

2.54

96.77

1.33

9

1.60

1.30

267

2.55

96.74

1.33

10

1.50

1.31

265

2.50

96.72

1.33

GM
     
1.33

GSD
     
1.00

 341 simulations were performed with the parameters R
_{0max} and R
_{0min} set within each specified range. 10 bestfit simulations were selected based on the correlation coefficient between the simulated epidemic curve and the observed weekly A/H1N1 IVIR curve. Pearson method was used to estimate the correlation coefficient

GM geometric mean, GSD geometric standard deviation

^{a}
R
_{0max} and R
_{0min} defined the range of the basic reproductive number [25]

^{b}
I
_{
Xpeak} denoted the peak day of the epidemic curve which was manifested by the infectives of clade X

^{c}
I
_{
Xmax} denoted the proportion of the total population being infectives of clade X on the peak day

^{d}
R
_{eX
} estimated the annual effective reproductive number of clade X