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Table 2 Parameter sets with corresponding characteristics of the ten best-fit simulations for the 2007–2008 influenza season

From: Data-driven interdisciplinary mathematical modelling quantitatively unveils competition dynamics of co-circulating influenza strains

Set

Parameters

Characteristics

R a0max

R a0min

I X peak (day)b

I X max (%)c

Correlation coefficient (%)

R deX

1

1.55

1.30

269

2.46

96.83

1.32

2

1.54

1.30

269

2.45

96.83

1.32

3

1.56

1.30

269

2.48

96.83

1.33

4

1.53

1.30

270

2.43

96.82

1.32

5

1.57

1.30

268

2.50

96.81

1.33

6

1.52

1.30

270

2.41

96.80

1.32

7

1.58

1.30

268

2.52

96.79

1.33

8

1.59

1.30

268

2.54

96.77

1.33

9

1.60

1.30

267

2.55

96.74

1.33

10

1.50

1.31

265

2.50

96.72

1.33

GM

     

1.33

GSD

     

1.00

  1. 341 simulations were performed with the parameters R 0max and R 0min set within each specified range. 10 best-fit simulations were selected based on the correlation coefficient between the simulated epidemic curve and the observed weekly A/H1N1 IVIR curve. Pearson method was used to estimate the correlation coefficient
  2. GM geometric mean, GSD geometric standard deviation
  3. a R 0max and R 0min defined the range of the basic reproductive number [25]
  4. b I Xpeak denoted the peak day of the epidemic curve which was manifested by the infectives of clade X
  5. c I Xmax denoted the proportion of the total population being infectives of clade X on the peak day
  6. d R eX estimated the annual effective reproductive number of clade X